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Cellular Statistics for February 2005
March 15, 2005
We estimate that the total number of valid subscriptions in Russia passed 80 mln in February to have reached 81.7m. Therefore, SIM-card penetration in the country reached 56% (27.5% in February 2004).
If Russia sustain the current growth pattern we may very well see 119 million subscribers in Russia at the year-end 2005 (>80% penetration).
Russian Mobile Subscribers
| Mobile Subscribers | February 28, 2005 | January 31, 2005 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Russia | 81,700,000 | 78,260,000 |
| Penetration | 56.3% | 53.9% |
| Moscow | 18,129,914 | 17,617,682 |
| Penetration | 106.7% | 103.7% |
| St.Petersburg | 5,911,085 | 5,797,703 |
| Penetration | 93.2% | 91.4% |
| Subscribers outside Moscow and St.Pete | 57,659,001 | 54,844,615 |
| Penetration | 47.3% | 45.0% |
Please note that our penetration figures are based on official data from 2002 population census (17 mln for Moscow and 6.3 mln for St.Pete). Reportedly, the population in Moscow License Area reaches as high as 23-25 mln while St.Pete License Area population figure is above 7 mln.
Russian Cellular
|
Russian Net Additions,
|
Top 10 Mobile Operators
| # | Company | February 28, 2005 | January 31, 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTS | 38,480,000 | 37,220,000 |
Moscow |
7,955,000 | 7,800,000 | |
Ukraine (UMC) |
7,895,000 | 7,730,000 | |
Belarus |
1,328,000 | 1,270,000 | |
Uzbekistan |
337,000 | 320,000 | |
| 2 | Vimpelcom | 29,450,000 | 28,245,000 |
Moscow |
7,945,000 | 7,775,000 | |
Kazakhstan |
1,055,000 | 995,000 | |
| 3 | MegaFon | 14,867,250 | 14,153,090 |
Moscow |
2,127,996 | 1,941,776 | |
Tajikistan |
49,212 | 48,624 | |
| 4 | Uralsvyazinform | 2,283,100 | 2,167,800 |
| 5 | SMARTS Group | 2,010,000 | 1,905,100 |
| 6 | Tele2 | 1,410,000 | 1,340,000 |
| 7 | Sibirtelecom | 1,116,000 | 1,029,742 |
| 8 | N.Novgorod Cellular | 775,322 | 725,000 |
| 9 | Ekaterinburg Cellular Communications - MOTIV | 486,520 | 440,000 |
| 10 | New Telephone Company | 311,570 | 280,810 |
Starting from this issue we include our estimates for Tele2 customers in Russia. With a very limited operational data available on Tele2 Russian operations we consider it is still important to share our vision with you as, according to our estimates, the company may soon reach 1.5 million subscribers (combined of all its 12 regional networks) and thus should be considered as a serious second-tier regional operator.
Moscow and St.Petersburg
Moscow License Area
Both MTS and Vimpelcom signed 150+ thsd new customers in February, which is typically not the best selling month. MTS leadership in the capital remained unchanged in February, though the difference with Vimpelcom is statistically insignificant. We would like to draw your attention to the performance by MegaFon, which for the first time since Sonic Duo (MegaFon operating entity in the Moscow License Area) came on air in November 2001, achieved more net additions in the capital than its two major competitors! Despite the fact that MegaFon uses stricter churn policy it has been slowly but surely expanding its market share in the MLA.
Moscow Market Breakdown
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Net Additions in Moscow,
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St.Petersburg and Leningrad Region
St.Petersburg is quickly approaching 100 mobile accounts per 100 population. Vimpelcom signed more than 50,000 users in St.Petersburg in February - for the second month in a row winning leadership in net additions from MegaFon and MTS.
St. Petersburg Market Breakdown
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Net Additions in St.Petersburg
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Regions outside Moscow and St.Pete
Regional sales are leaded by Vimpelcom this month (again), with MTS running closely.
Regional Market Breakdown
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Regional Net Additions
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